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Showing posts with label Poised. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Poised. Show all posts

Sunday, October 10, 2010

China's CNOOC Poised for Growth

Not to beat a dead horse, but we’re still impressed with China’s control over its fast growing economy. While the Chinese GDP down-throttled to single digits in the second quarter of the year, recent data points to a reacceleration. Among recently released figures, Chinese imports in August were exceptionally impressive. Imports grew by 35.2 percent during the month over the year earlier period, a vast improvement over July’s 22.7 percent growth, and easily outpacing expectations of 27.5 percent. The remarkable import number goes part in parcel with strong retail sales and industrial production reports as well. China’s economic strength is also evident in commodity and energy prices. Even with the largest economies in the world, the U.S. and Europe, struggling to make strides in their recoveries, the most economically sensitive resources are pointing higher. Case in point is copper which is holding steady just below $3.50 a pound. Another is crude oil, while pulling back a tad over the last couple days, remains above $75 a barrel. As the developed economies recover (be it with or without more government intervention), and the developing world continues to pursue energy intensive infrastructure projects, worldwide oil demand will continue to move higher. Most easy to reach oil supplies have been or are close to, exhausted, and the world’s turning more towards deepwater deposits to satisfy its oil thirst. It’s not surprising to see the better capitalized oil companies going after the rights to such deposits – many of which are located off the coast of Brazil.

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Thursday, July 22, 2010

China MediaExpress: The Most Undervalued Stock Poised to Profit From China's Emerging Middle Class

for many Chinese companies. Its rates are low so they get paid quickly. This is unique for a Chinese companies. With CCME there is no fear of further dilution. The company's CFO recently stated, "we have sufficient resources to fund our business expansion plans, including internal growth initiatives as well as potential acquisitions.”

4) CCME has amazing growth. The Net Income target is $71-$75m this year, which would represent 79% growth from 2009. That $71-$75m range seems very conservative by management since the company did $18m Net Income in Q1 ($72m run rate) and it expects higher growth and margins the rest of the year. Management has a huge incentive to make $84m of net income this year in the form of earn out shares.

I believe the Company will make the $84m in net income this year. With approximately 40.5m fully diluted shares, EPS could range from the $1.85 guidance to over $2 if they hit the earn out target. FMCN, which is the best comparable in this sector, currently trades at a P/E of 17 based on the 2010 estimates of $0.94 EPS. To give CCME a P/E of 17, it would have a share price of $34 right now. This research report gives the company a $35 target and said CCME is discounted 68% to its peers.

This stock is incredibly undervalued given the above 4 discussion points. CCME, being a new listing, has yet to receive analyst coverage. The Company stated it has met with many analysts and institutions, so I personally expect coverage soon. Analysts typically assign P/E ratios anywhere from 10-30, depending on the Company. Because of the above discussion points I think CCME qualifies for a higher multiple. Lastly, CCME was recently selected to be added to the Russell Global Select fund.

CCME is the most undervalued stock poised to profit from China's emerging middle class.

Disclosure: I am long CCME.

About the author: super-trades.com

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